size the risk first, then let leverage fall out of the math
on Binance, a $100 risk budget and a $584.40 BTC stop distance produces 0.171116 BTC, $16,666.67 notional and 16.67x against a $1,000 isolated-margin sleeve.
how it's computed
risk-first sizing divides your dollar risk by the entry-to-stop distance, producing contracts before leverage enters the calculation.
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the short version
- set the dollar risk before the leverage: $100 divided by a $584.40 BTC stop is 0.171116 BTC, and 16.67x on $1,000 simply falls out.
- check the stop sits well before the liq — $4,870 above it in the BTC example — then confirm the live bracket and liq on your venue.
- never let leverage set the loss: 20x on the full account with a 1% stop loses 20% per stop, leaving $3,276.80 of $10,000 after 5 losses.
what is the position-size formula for futures risk per trade
risk 1% of $10,000, or $100, and divide it by the stop distance for contracts; leverage comes last.
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position size starts with the amount your account can lose if the stop fills, not with the leverage slider. The core calculation is contracts = risk budget ÷ distance from entry to stop. For a long, that distance is entry minus stop; for a short, it is stop minus entry. Multiplying contracts by entry gives notional, and notional divided by assigned margin gives the leverage that position requires.
take a $10,000 account and allocate 1% to the planned loss: $10,000 × 1% = $100. If the position has a $1,000 isolated-margin sleeve, leverage becomes notional ÷ $1,000. The risk budget remains $100 whether the resulting position needs 2.86x, 6.25x or 16.67x. Leverage controls margin efficiency; the stop distance and contracts control the planned loss.
- set the dollar risk budget before reading the leverage slider.
- place the stop from the trade structure, then measure its exact dollar distance from entry.
- divide the risk budget by that distance to get contracts.
- multiply contracts by entry to get notional.
- divide notional by assigned margin, then check the resulting bracket, MMR and estimated liq.
how does the same dollar risk size BTC, ETH and SOL differently
wider stop, smaller position: $100 of risk is $16,666.67 of BTC on a 0.6% stop, $2,857.14 of SOL on 3.5%.
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the worked longs use the marks at authoring as entries, not live quotes: BTC at $97,400, ETH at $3,620 and SOL at $214. Each position risks the same $100, but the stop distances differ: BTC uses $584.40 or 0.6%, ETH uses $57.92 or 1.6%, and SOL uses $7.49 or 3.5%. Those distances come from the supplied Binance worked examples and produce different contract counts.
with a $1,000 isolated-margin sleeve, BTC produces the largest notional because its stop is the tightest in percentage terms. The arithmetic is $100 ÷ $584.40 = 0.171116 BTC, then 0.171116 × $97,400 = $16,666.67. ETH produces $6,250 notional, while SOL produces $2,857.14. The risk remains $100 in each row before fees, funding, slippage or a stop gap.
show the table
| contract | entry | stop distance | contracts | notional | leverage on $1,000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC long | $97,400 | $584.40 / 0.6% | 0.171116 BTC | $16,666.67 | 16.67x |
| ETH long | $3,620 | $57.92 / 1.6% | 1.726519 ETH | $6,250 | 6.25x |
| SOL long | $214 | $7.49 / 3.5% | 13.351135 SOL | $2,857.14 | 2.86x |
liqsiren arithmetic from the supplied Binance worked examples and marks at authoring, 2026-09-22.
does correct sizing put the stop before the liquidation price
at 16.67x the BTC stop sits $4,870 above the estimated liq — check that gap against your venue’s live liq.
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yes, in these isolated-margin examples the stop sits materially before the estimated liq. Using Binance first-bracket MMR, the BTC long at 16.67x has an estimated liq of $91,945.60, while its stop is $96,815.60. That leaves $4,870 between stop and liq. ETH at 6.25x has a $3,055.28 estimated liq and a $3,562.08 stop, leaving $506.80 between them.
SOL at 2.86x has an estimated liq of $140.17 against a $206.51 stop, a $66.34 gap. The approximation is long liq = entry × (1 − 1/leverage + MMR). These figures are an estimate — exchanges compute exact liq from live margin; always double-check on your venue. Cross-margin PnL, fee and funding accruals, stop slippage and bracket changes can move the live result.
show the table
| contract | planned stop | estimated liq | stop-to-liq gap | MMR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC long | $96,815.60 | $91,945.60 | $4,870 | 0.4% |
| ETH long | $3,562.08 | $3,055.28 | $506.80 | 0.4% |
| SOL long | $206.51 | $140.17 | $66.34 | 0.5% |
liqsiren isolated-margin formula using Binance first brackets verified 2026-09-19; entries from marks at authoring, 2026-09-22.
why does maintenance margin change the leverage output
check the bracket after sizing: Binance BTC holds 0.4% MMR only through $300,000 notional, SOL 0.5% through $50,000.
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MMR is selected from notional, so sizing and liquidation cannot be separated. On Binance, BTC and ETH stay at 0.4% MMR through $300,000 notional, while SOL stays at 0.5% only through $50,000. Bybit starts BTC and ETH at 0.33% through $300,000, while SOL starts at 0.5% through $50,000. Crossing a cap can change both MMR and available maximum leverage.
the three $100-risk examples remain in their first brackets because their notionals are $16,666.67, $6,250 and $2,857.14. Larger risk budgets or tighter stops can push notional into another tier even when the account-level risk percentage is unchanged. Only the first 5 tiers are available in the supplied calculator table; beyond them, its fallback can slightly underestimate MMR, so large notionals need a venue-side check.
show the table
| row label | notional up to | MMR | maximum leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Binance BTC bracket 1 | $300,000 | 0.4% | 150x |
| Binance BTC bracket 2 | $800,000 | 0.5% | 100x |
| Bybit BTC bracket 1 | $300,000 | 0.33% | 150x |
| Bybit BTC bracket 2 | $2,000,000 | 0.5% | 100x |
| Binance SOL bracket 1 | $50,000 | 0.5% | 100x |
| Bybit SOL bracket 2 | $100,000 | 0.56% | 90x |
Binance leverage-margin data and Bybit v5 market risk-limit data, verified 2026-09-19.
what happens during a losing streak with fixed percentage risk
risk 1% of what’s left: 5 straight losses draw down 4.90%, while 20x with a 1% stop draws down 67.23%.
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fixed percentage risk reduces the next dollar loss as equity contracts. Starting from $10,000 and losing 1% of remaining equity each time gives $10,000 × 0.99 after each stopped position. After 5 losses, the balance is $9,509.90; after 10 it is $9,043.82; after 20 it is $8,179.07. That model excludes fees, funding, slippage and stop gaps.
fixed leverage does not define risk unless the stop distance and capital allocation are also fixed. For contrast, applying 20x to the full remaining account with a 1% adverse stop implies a 20% equity loss per stopped position before costs: 20 × 1% = 20%. After 5 such losses, $10,000 × 0.80⁵ leaves $3,276.80. The comparison isolates sizing arithmetic rather than forecasting any sequence.
show the table
| consecutive losses | 1% of remaining equity | drawdown | 20x with 1% adverse stop | drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $9,900 | 1% | $8,000 | 20% |
| 5 | $9,509.90 | 4.90% | $3,276.80 | 67.23% |
| 10 | $9,043.82 | 9.56% | $1,073.74 | 89.26% |
| 20 | $8,179.07 | 18.21% | $115.29 | 98.85% |
plain compounding arithmetic from a $10,000 starting balance using 1%, 20x and a 1% adverse stop, 2026-09-22.
how do fees and funding alter the planned risk
a $10,000 taker round trip adds $10 on Binance or $11 on Bybit to your $100 planned loss — budget it separately.
read more
a stop-based $100 loss is not the full cash outcome when execution costs are included. Binance’s supplied 0.05% taker rate gives a 0.1% taker round trip, while Bybit’s 0.055% gives 0.11%. On $10,000 notional, that is $10 on Binance or $11 on Bybit before funding. Those amounts equal 10% and 11% of a $100 risk budget, respectively.
at 20x, the supplied round-trip taker drag equals 2% of margin on Binance and 2.2% on Bybit. Both venues use an 8-hour funding interval in the facts pack, but the amount paid or received depends on size, rate and holding time. A sizing sheet therefore needs separate lines for planned price loss, estimated execution fees and funding rather than burying all three inside leverage.
what should be checked before sending the order
if moving the leverage slider changes your dollar loss, you sized from margin — resize from the stop before you send.
read more
the sizing chain should reconcile risk budget, stop distance, contracts, notional, assigned margin, leverage, bracket and estimated liq in that order. If changing leverage changes your planned dollar loss, the position was sized from margin rather than from the stop. If changing the stop leaves contracts unchanged, the risk budget is no longer fixed. Both breaks are visible before a taker fill reaches the book.
trigger type for stop, take-profit and conditional orders is selectable and varies by product and interface, so it must be checked on the account rather than assumed. The mark also matters to liquidation monitoring, while a stop can face slippage or a gap through its trigger. The venue’s live margin display remains the final check because cross collateral, accrued funding, fees and bracket transitions are outside the isolated approximation.
- confirm that contracts equal dollar risk divided by the exact entry-to-stop distance.
- recalculate notional after any entry change or partial fill.
- check the live MMR bracket after the final notional is known.
- verify the selected conditional-order trigger type on the account.
- compare the venue’s live liq with the isolated estimate before relying on the stop-to-liq gap.
what this page adds that the others don't
show all 7
- a $100 BTC risk budget divided by a $584.40 stop distance produces 0.171116 BTC and $16,666.67 notional.
- the same $100 risk produces 1.726519 ETH with a $57.92 stop distance but 13.351135 SOL with a $7.49 distance.
- on a $1,000 margin sleeve, the worked leverage outputs are 16.67x for BTC, 6.25x for ETH and 2.86x for SOL.
- the Binance BTC worked stop at $96,815.60 sits $4,870 above the $91,945.60 estimated isolated liq.
- Binance BTC starts at 0.4% MMR through $300,000, while Bybit BTC starts at 0.33% through the same notional cap.
- 5 consecutive losses at 1% of remaining equity leave $9,509.90 from $10,000, versus $3,276.80 under 20x full-equity exposure with a 1% adverse stop.
- a $10,000 taker round trip is $10 at Binance’s supplied 0.1% round-trip rate and $11 at Bybit’s 0.11% rate.
faq
should I choose leverage before calculating position size?
no. choose the dollar risk and stop first, then calculate contracts as risk budget divided by stop distance. Contracts multiplied by entry gives notional, and notional divided by assigned margin gives required leverage. This order prevents the leverage slider from silently setting your account loss.
how much do I lose if my stop fills?
your planned price loss is contracts multiplied by the entry-to-stop distance. In the worked examples that equals $100 for BTC, ETH and SOL. The realised cash result can be larger because taker fees, funding, slippage or a gap through the stop are separate from the planned price loss.
can my liquidation price still move after I size the position?
yes. the displayed liq can move with live margin, accrued funding and fees, bracket changes, added or removed collateral, and cross-position PnL where cross margin applies. Every calculator result is an estimate — exchanges compute exact liq from live margin; always double-check on your venue.
does fixed leverage mean fixed risk per trade?
no. fixed leverage controls notional relative to margin, not loss at the stop. At 20x, a 1% adverse move on full-account exposure implies a 20% equity move before costs, while a different stop distance produces a different loss. Fixed risk requires contracts to change whenever stop distance changes.
why does my venue show a different liquidation price?
the venue uses live account state, while the worked formula is a USDT-M isolated-margin approximation. It excludes unrealised PnL on other positions under cross margin and the venue’s fee and funding accruals since entry. A different active MMR bracket can also change the displayed liq.
sources
- Binance futures leverage and margin brackets (the bracket API behind the official page) — checked 2026-09-19
- Binance Futures liquidation and maintenance margin documentation — checked 2026-09-19
- Bybit v5 market risk-limit endpoint (risk limit / maintenance margin tiers) — checked 2026-09-19
- Bybit liquidation process documentation — checked 2026-09-19
- liqsiren margin-tier table, verified against both venues — checked 2026-09-19
methodology, coverage gaps and the resolved prediction scorecard live on the would-have-alerted audit. corrections: @ehivedev on Telegram.